Why spreads widen at news
Liquidity thins at releases and session boundaries. What the widening means, what it does not, and how a rolling window keeps rankings honest.
Currencies trade around the clock, which makes it easy to assume every hour is the same market. They are not. Liquidity arrives and leaves with the working day of the desks that provide it, and the spread you are quoted is the honest readout of how much of it is present at that moment.
Three broad sessions carry most of the volume: the Asian hours, the European hours and the North American hours. Each has its own instruments and its own character, and the transitions between them are where the pricing changes most.
The deepest liquidity in the currency market usually sits where the European and North American sessions overlap, in the early afternoon in London. Two of the largest pools of participants are open at once, so the top of the book is crowded and the gap between bid and ask is typically at its narrowest on the major pairs.
This is also when scheduled data lands most often, so the same hours hold both the tightest average pricing and the sharpest short-lived widenings. Those two facts are not in conflict: an average across a session and one minute inside it describe different things.
At the other end sit the hours after the North American close and around the daily rollover, when many desks step away and the book thins out. Spreads on the same pair can sit noticeably wider for that stretch with no headline in sight. A public holiday in a major financial centre has a similar effect for a whole session.
The Asian hours are quieter for European pairs but not for everything. Instruments whose natural participants sit in that timezone trade perfectly well then, which is a reminder that quiet is relative to the instrument rather than universal.
If your method lets you choose when you trade, choosing the busy hours is one of the cheapest improvements available to you. Nothing about your entries changes, and the cost of crossing the spread falls simply because more participants are quoting.
If it does not let you choose, compare firms in the conditions you actually trade rather than at the friendliest hour of the day. A desk that looks excellent mid-session may not be the one that behaves best at the hour you are awake.
Either way, check the same instrument at the same time on more than one day before drawing a conclusion. One quiet Tuesday afternoon is a sample of one, and session behaviour is easier to judge across a week than inside a single screenshot.
Liquidity thins at releases and session boundaries. What the widening means, what it does not, and how a rolling window keeps rankings honest.
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