Challenge ROI.
Given the fee, the split and an honest pass estimate, is this attempt worth paying for?
Run it on your own numbers.
Every figure comes from what you type, and the formula behind the answer is printed under it.
Challenge ROI
Given a fee, a split and an honest pass estimate, is this attempt positive expectation at all?
Expected value per attempt
$1225.00
EV = pass probability x first payout minus the fee, where the payout is the profit target x account x your split, plus the refunded fee where offered. The pass probability is YOUR estimate; the pass probability calculator on this page is one honest way to get it. Planning arithmetic, not advice.
How it is computed
The first payout is the profit target times the account size times your split, plus the refunded fee where the firm returns it. Expected value is your pass probability times that payout, minus the fee. The breakeven pass rate is the fee divided by the payout: above it an attempt is positive expectation under these assumptions, below it the fee is the product.
Runs in your browser over the numbers you type. Nothing is stored, nothing is sent anywhere, and no result is a recommendation or financial advice.
Asked about this calculator.
Short answers in the same plain arithmetic the calculator uses.
Where do I get an honest pass probability?
Simulate it from your own numbers in the pass probability calculator. Guessing high is the classic way this arithmetic gets bent.
Does this account for repeated attempts and resets?
No, it prices one attempt. Reset discounts and free retries improve the economics per attempt; model them by lowering the effective fee.
Is a positive EV a recommendation to buy?
No. It is planning arithmetic under stated assumptions, and the assumptions are yours. Nothing on this site is financial advice.
This tool provides an indicative comparison of spreads and estimated execution costs based on periodic snapshots from connected data feeds and normalized trade assumptions. Displayed values are not tradable quotes and may differ from prices available on any provider's live accounts. Spreads vary by account type, server, liquidity conditions, and time of day. Competitor names and marks belong to their respective owners; no affiliation or endorsement is implied. The "Average Prop Firm" benchmark is a computed composite of sampled competitor feeds, not the published pricing of any specific firm. Cost estimates use a normalized trade scenario and do not constitute financial advice or a prediction of trading results.